Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000235 0.000263 0.000293 0.000327 0.000366 0.000407 0.000456
2024-12-15 0.000200 0.000238 0.000282 0.000336 0.000400 0.000474 0.000566
2024-12-22 0.000173 0.000218 0.000272 0.000342 0.000431 0.000539 0.000681
2024-12-29 0.000151 0.000200 0.000262 0.000347 0.000459 0.000602 0.000800
2025-01-05 0.000131 0.000182 0.000249 0.000344 0.000477 0.000654 0.000910
2025-01-12 0.000117 0.000169 0.000240 0.000346 0.000499 0.000712 0.001033
2025-01-19 0.000105 0.000158 0.000233 0.000349 0.000523 0.000774 0.001168
2025-01-26 0.000094 0.000146 0.000223 0.000345 0.000535 0.000820 0.001282
2025-02-02 0.000089 0.000143 0.000225 0.000361 0.000578 0.000914 0.001478
2025-02-09 0.000083 0.000137 0.000222 0.000366 0.000605 0.000986 0.001646
2025-02-16 0.000077 0.000131 0.000218 0.000370 0.000629 0.001056 0.001816
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000123 0.000212 0.000369 0.000646 0.001113 0.001968
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000116 0.000204 0.000367 0.000660 0.001171 0.002134
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000110 0.000199 0.000367 0.000679 0.001239 0.002324
2025-03-16 0.000055 0.000104 0.000194 0.000368 0.000701 0.001313 0.002533
2025-03-23 0.000051 0.000099 0.000190 0.000369 0.000722 0.001387 0.002750
2025-03-30 0.000047 0.000093 0.000183 0.000365 0.000731 0.001441 0.002933
2025-04-06 0.000043 0.000089 0.000178 0.000365 0.000750 0.001514 0.003163
2025-04-13 0.000041 0.000086 0.000175 0.000368 0.000774 0.001599 0.003423
2025-04-20 0.000038 0.000081 0.000169 0.000363 0.000782 0.001653 0.003624
2025-04-27 0.000037 0.000081 0.000173 0.000379 0.000835 0.001805 0.004052
2025-05-04 0.000035 0.000078 0.000171 0.000384 0.000866 0.001912 0.004391
2025-05-11 0.000033 0.000076 0.000169 0.000388 0.000894 0.002016 0.004733